Aug 15, 2019

Erdington Property Market Update Summer 2019

The foundations of the Erdington Property Market over the summer have continued to be principally sound; yet the existing political macroclimate means that the critical element of consumer confidence has been reduced and that is triggering some potential Erdington property buyers and Erdington house sellers to falter slightly and hang fire making any firm decisions on property.

With record low interest rates at 0.75%, low unemployment rates of 3.8%, and decent mortgage availability (even those with low deposits – there were 224 mortgage deals available on the day of writing this article where only a 5% deposit was required and 5 main stream lenders that would offer 100% no deposit mortgages), Erdington buyers have a lot going in their favour, aside from the perceived political uncertainty.

Interestingly, Rightmove have stated there are more properties for sale today in the Country, than at any time since 2016, and Erdington follows that trend. Even with that in mind, property values have remained reasonably stable as The Land Registry has just released its House Price Index for Erdington and the surrounding locality and it makes very interesting reading.

Overall, property values in the Erdington area are 4.3% higher than a year ago as the average property value in Erdington now stands at £171,000.

When I looked at the types of Erdington properties, a slightly different picture appeared ..

  • Erdington Detached homes rose by 4.9%
  • Erdington Semi-detached homes rose by 5.0%
  • Erdington Terraced/Town-House rose by 4.2%
  • Erdington Flats/Apartments rose by 2.9%

and splitting down the types of Erdington into property types ..

  • Erdington Detached £254,100
  • Erdington Semi-Detached £187,900
  • Erdington Terraced/Town-House £153,600
  • Erdington Flats/Apartments £113,700

Yet, Erdington Property Market Blog readers will know I always like to measure the health of the Erdington property market not only by house prices but transaction levels as well ..

751 properties were sold in the last year in Erdington,

lower than the 10-year average of 763 properties per annum

Considering the uncertainty the Country has been through in the last three years with the ‘B’ word issue, I don’t think that’s too bad and shows the underlying resilience of the Erdington property market.

Now looking forward towards the end of the year.. how will Erdington house values change under the new Prime Minister?

Erdington buy-to-let landlords and Erdington first-time buyers seem to be sustaining their preceding activity levels, which is heartening news. It’s quite conceivable that both cohorts are presently profiting from the marginally increased numbers of Erdington homes on the market, which not only offers them greater choice, but aids with their negotiations. The suggested Stamp Duty changes made me look at previous Stamp Duty changes in the last decade and their effects have been rather short term.

That means those selling their homes in Erdington need to be realistic with their pricing, and, as most sellers also buy a property, what you might lose on your sale you will make up on the purchase.

BoJo, Brexit … to be honest are all short-term distractions from the long-term issues of the UK and Erdington property market. Until we start building at least 300,000 properties a year to meet the demand for UK property, demand will always outstrip supply, meaning irrespective of short-term fluctuations that may (or may not) be caused by domestic and world events (including the ‘B’ word’), prices will always in the medium to long term remain stable and increase.